Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.395084 0.461853 0.536809 0.627266 0.733584 0.854719 1.003411
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.281647 0.365562 0.470366 0.611224 0.796171 1.031536 1.355102
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.235690 0.328624 0.453503 0.634315 0.890721 1.243265 1.768196
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.198962 0.293884 0.429194 0.637304 0.951531 1.411802 2.143673
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.174440 0.270799 0.415343 0.649615 1.023201 1.601537 2.575744
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.149794 0.242905 0.388976 0.636919 1.051879 1.726584 2.923080
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.131370 0.221641 0.369149 0.630321 1.087197 1.864306 3.309291
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.118147 0.206788 0.357220 0.634242 1.139278 2.035325 3.777321
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.111637 0.202364 0.362004 0.667262 1.246302 2.316262 4.487814
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.105382 0.197410 0.364931 0.696822 1.350413 2.605483 5.258938
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.098512 0.190314 0.362837 0.716233 1.437202 2.872909 6.028138
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090868 0.180690 0.354617 0.722249 1.497662 3.095745 6.739111
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082449 0.168681 0.340652 0.715604 1.532983 3.275973 7.397542
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073927 0.155418 0.322587 0.698085 1.543037 3.404994 7.966053
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070449 0.152236 0.324878 0.724561 1.653406 3.769875 9.144691
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065354 0.144895 0.317334 0.727992 1.711628 4.024499 10.100908
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061623 0.140085 0.314676 0.742120 1.796764 4.354357 11.302193
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056204 0.130756 0.300694 0.727550 1.810135 4.511987 12.084215
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051828 0.123328 0.290191 0.719979 1.839814 4.714605 13.022723
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048631 0.118331 0.284829 0.724478 1.901118 5.007699 14.264757
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047617 0.118556 0.292127 0.762374 2.056251 5.573084 16.390928
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046386 0.118082 0.297624 0.796307 2.205821 6.146774 18.650570
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044608 0.115986 0.298743 0.818594 2.326324 6.657896 20.817076